Going to depend on a LOT of things - like the cost of gas and the need for heat.
The best ICE engine is about 40% efficient. That's a big minus when it comes to driving long distances when gas is expensive. It's a big plus when you live in Alaska and use most of that 60% waste heat to melt ice and keep the car warm.
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ICE vehicles have major negative impacts which aren't accounted for in the price of gas. First, the US spends major amount of money each year controlling the Middle East and interfering in oil producing countries like the Venezuela. Secondly, ICE cars create a lot of pollution which negative effects everyone health and exacerbates climate change.The cheap gas prices have gotten us Americans in bad habits with vehicles that you don't see anywhere else in the world. We have 800 HP muscle cars that can literally kill you if you are not a great driver. We use pick-up trucks as commuters. We have huge SUV's for families of 3 to 4. We also try to justify these things. My neighbor bought a pick-up truck last year and I asked her why and she said she sometimes has to pick up large things. It has been a year and she hasn't used the bed of the truck once. People buy huge SUV's because they might need the space one day to pick up a few extra people. The "what ifs" are not a reason to buy a truck or SUV.
In Europe they don't have pick up trucks because cars have hitches to tow small trailers. So why does the average American need a pick up truck??? The answer is they don't. When you have to transport more than five people either take two smaller cars or rent something for a week. You don't need a SUV for the few times a year. The same can be said for that 1100 mile drive. You don't "need" an ICE car for that, you can rent an ICE car for that infrequent trip.
I have no problem with efficient ICE vehicles. My problem is the cars/trucks/SUV's that get 10 to 20 mpg and are not used for their intended purposes. I am fine with people buying sports cars with 800 HP engines, but only driving them for recreation and not putting high miles on them. If you have a large truck, you better use it 50% of the time for its intended purpose.
For most people, plug in hybrids are probably the best for the environment and you can put 90% of your miles as pure electric. I choose pure EV because I drive a 130 mile commute every day. I should move closer to work, but house prices in that area are insanely high or the lower priced houses would endanger my family because of crime. I choose EV's because I wanted to lower my impact and got solar to make myself net carbon neutral.Leave a comment:
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Still comes down to pay your money - take your choice regardless of what others may think of that choice.The cheap gas prices have gotten us Americans in bad habits with vehicles that you don't see anywhere else in the world. We have 800 HP muscle cars that can literally kill you if you are not a great driver. We use pick-up trucks as commuters. We have huge SUV's for families of 3 to 4. We also try to justify these things. My neighbor bought a pick-up truck last year and I asked her why and she said she sometimes has to pick up large things. It has been a year and she hasn't used the bed of the truck once. People buy huge SUV's because they might need the space one day to pick up a few extra people. The "what ifs" are not a reason to buy a truck or SUV.
In Europe they don't have pick up trucks because cars have hitches to tow small trailers. So why does the average American need a pick up truck??? The answer is they don't. When you have to transport more than five people either take two smaller cars or rent something for a week. You don't need a SUV for the few times a year. The same can be said for that 1100 mile drive. You don't "need" an ICE car for that, you can rent an ICE car for that infrequent trip.
I have no problem with efficient ICE vehicles. My problem is the cars/trucks/SUV's that get 10 to 20 mpg and are not used for their intended purposes. I am fine with people buying sports cars with 800 HP engines, but only driving them for recreation and not putting high miles on them. If you have a large truck, you better use it 50% of the time for its intended purpose.
For most people, plug in hybrids are probably the best for the environment and you can put 90% of your miles as pure electric. I choose pure EV because I drive a 130 mile commute every day. I should move closer to work, but house prices in that area are insanely high or the lower priced houses would endanger my family because of crime. I choose EV's because I wanted to lower my impact and got solar to make myself net carbon neutral.
For a lot of folks, maybe even most, driving a fuel efficient vehicle and then driving it as little as possible may be better, but such choices are often/usually overrule intellectual humility in favor of myopic self interest. But, not my money/life/whatever.
Real objective analysis of information and situational awareness are keys to helping the environment. Emotion and mental sloth are two of the villains that often withhold such information and so become the tyrants that control the flow of information.Leave a comment:
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The cheap gas prices have gotten us Americans in bad habits with vehicles that you don't see anywhere else in the world. We have 800 HP muscle cars that can literally kill you if you are not a great driver. We use pick-up trucks as commuters. We have huge SUV's for families of 3 to 4. We also try to justify these things. My neighbor bought a pick-up truck last year and I asked her why and she said she sometimes has to pick up large things. It has been a year and she hasn't used the bed of the truck once. People buy huge SUV's because they might need the space one day to pick up a few extra people. The "what ifs" are not a reason to buy a truck or SUV.
In Europe they don't have pick up trucks because cars have hitches to tow small trailers. So why does the average American need a pick up truck??? The answer is they don't. When you have to transport more than five people either take two smaller cars or rent something for a week. You don't need a SUV for the few times a year. The same can be said for that 1100 mile drive. You don't "need" an ICE car for that, you can rent an ICE car for that infrequent trip.
I have no problem with efficient ICE vehicles. My problem is the cars/trucks/SUV's that get 10 to 20 mpg and are not used for their intended purposes. I am fine with people buying sports cars with 800 HP engines, but only driving them for recreation and not putting high miles on them. If you have a large truck, you better use it 50% of the time for its intended purpose.
For most people, plug in hybrids are probably the best for the environment and you can put 90% of your miles as pure electric. I choose pure EV because I drive a 130 mile commute every day. I should move closer to work, but house prices in that area are insanely high or the lower priced houses would endanger my family because of crime. I choose EV's because I wanted to lower my impact and got solar to make myself net carbon neutral.Leave a comment:
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How about a thought experiment: If the cataclysm kills 99 % or the population but leaves all the vehicles the dead people owned, the remaining 1% will have their choice of vehicles, probably on the cheap, or zero cost. Then, it might be interesting to see what the vehicle ownership choices would be, ICE or EV.
It would be telling if Bubba went for the trivked out F150 with 5 ft. tires and the N. CA techno geek went for the EVs - tricked out model S teslas of course.
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I think your 99% target is a little high. But then again if the population is greatly reduced due to some cataclysm, 99% of the people left may find an EV the best form of transportation.
But for now a large % of the 8+ billion people on this planet will either use man power (bikes, walking, rickshaws) or ICE vehicles to get around.Leave a comment:
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As I said each of us has a different point of indifference. I rationalize my decisions based on the economics but at the end of the day, there is someting to be said about feeling warm or fuzzy. That is the tyranny of the subconscious.Leave a comment:
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As EV's get cheaper, have longer range and charge faster, they will be unambiguously better for people in 99% of cases.
I agree the economics are different based on location. As far as comparing apples and oranges there is a concept in economics called cross elasticity. At some point people will shift from apples to oranges if the price of oranges goes low enough. Each of us has a unique point of indifference.Leave a comment:
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Going to the "cheaper" oranges should be an economical choice. Not because it makes people feel warm and fuzzy because they think it may save the environment.
I agree the economics are different based on location. As far as comparing apples and oranges there is a concept in economics called cross elasticity. At some point people will shift from apples to oranges if the price of oranges goes low enough. Each of us has a unique point of indifference.Leave a comment:
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Perhaps people are comparing behavioral differences between human beings in Norway and the USA. The difference is easily explained by different public policy that affects the economics. EVs are cheaper than ICE vehicles in Norway. China and India are headed in the same direction. Those are global trends in political policies somewhat relevant to the subject of this thread.
I agree the economics are different, based on location and government policy.Last edited by Ampster; 06-03-2019, 09:11 AM.Leave a comment:
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I understand the relevance to a cold climate and EV's. I just wonder why people keep trying to make comparisons between apples and oranges.
EV's just do not make economic sense everywhere.Leave a comment:
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No, I dont think California comes close to what the trends are in Norway. I think the point of the Norway example was about EVs in a cold weather environment.Leave a comment:
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