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  • the1wynn
    Junior Member
    • Mar 2019
    • 1

    New some advice / guidance on installing solar

    This solar stuff can get complicated. Looking for some advice and guidance from others who may understand some nuances that I do not at the moment. I am evualating getting solar installed, and am having trouble understanding the pros/cons in the two estimates that I have received.

    Current house:
    Location - San Diego
    Energy Provider - SDG&E
    Plan - TOU2 (switching to TOU5)
    Last 12 months of energy used - 14,939 kWh (I expect this to increase as I purchased a Tesla in February and a Pacifica Hybrid, so lots of car charging now happening)
    Goals - Produce green energy, and to reduce my energy bill as much as possible. We use a lot of air conditioning, so my bill varies wildly, getting very high in the summer. I want to reduce that as much as possible while keeping it much more consistent throughout the year.

    Bid 1 is from Tesla:
    # of panels - 26
    Panels - I'm not really sure. I have asked and was told "specific markets have 325 or 330 watt panels manufactured in Buffalo by Tesla using Panasonic technology". And they sent me brochures for Hanwha and Panasonic panels. WTF?
    System size - 7.63 kWh
    Est. annual energy produced - 11,744 kWh
    Battery Storage - 2 Tesla powerwalls
    Price per kWh - $3.90 (including the batteries in this calculation
    Notes - they are pushing the powerwalls not so much as an energy backup solution (we almost never lose power here) but to be used to offset energy usage during the most expensive time of day (4pm - 9pm). 2 powerwalls store 27 kWh of power which should cover my usage during that time.

    Bid 2 is local company that comes highly recommended from many friends:
    # of panels - 29
    Panels - LG Neon R
    System size - not sure, they didn't give me the number and I didn't do the math to see what it is
    Est. annual energy produced - 16,867 kWh
    Battery Storage - none
    Price per kWh - $2.28
    Notes - they are telling me the batteries do no good for what I want to do because their design produces so much energy it offsets all of my usage.

    My confusion comes in mainly with the whole time of use thing along with the utility buying back excess energy. Should I try to use as little energy as possible during the most expensive time of day (by offsetting with stored energy in the batteries), or should I not worry and just produce as much power as I can? Anyone understand these nuances a bit better than I do? From what I can, SDG&E will buy the extra energy produces much lower than what I pay them for the energy I use.

    Which route is best to go to reduce my electric costs by as much as possible? I am a pretty big Tesla fanboy so I am attracted to the powerwalls, but does it make the most financial sense? I can't for the life of me figure out which one will offset my monthly electric bill to SDG&E.
  • ButchDeal
    Solar Fanatic
    • Apr 2014
    • 3802

    #2
    your systems sizes should be in kW not kWh so the Tesla one is 7.63kW

    Comparison is based on $/W pre tax not $/kWh estimate (estimates are not worth much often).

    Yes you still want to use as little as reasonable possible during expensive TOU hours. You could use the more expensive battery but Tesla does not have any more battery incentive.

    Lets try to compare these two properly first though.

    Bid 1 Tesla

    ok you states 26 PV modules at 325W or 330W either Panasonic or Hanwha?
    in any case 26 X 325 = 8.45kW (what did you mean by system size of 7.63kWh??)
    Guessing the price was ~$45.8k or $5.42/W


    Bid 2 local company

    29 PV modules LG Neon R (several sizes there but guessing 360W) so size of 10.44kW
    coming to about $3.68/w still high but high end PV modules.
    seems like large system.


    What is the azimuth of the array? is it shadowed?
    OutBack FP1 w/ CS6P-250P http://bit.ly/1Sg5VNH

    Comment

    • J.P.M.
      Solar Fanatic
      • Aug 2013
      • 14925

      #3
      For starters, if your goal is to reduce your electric bill as much as possible, start by using less. That is the single, most cost effective and foolproof way to reduce your energy bill as much as possible. Not as easy as throwing PV at a high electric bill, but much more cost effective. PV is the most expensive way to reduce a bill and therefore, with all elcse being equal priority, ought to be the last thing done. Almost no one around ere understands or does that in any serious fashion. That's my pitch for conservation.

      Also, while you're at it, download the green button data from the SDG & E website. You'll need it to make intelligent choices about which tariff rate to choose.

      Please provide system sizes in kW for each bid and total system prices before any tax credits or rebates. Don't pay much attention to panel wattage or number of panels. And don't compare prices per kWh (if that's what you mean to be doing). Use total prices from the vendors after any rebates but before fed. tax credit for the entire system divided by total system size in STC watts for all price comparisons. What you've provided so far is confusing and inaccurate. It's hard to give a meaningful opinion with the information supplied here so far.

      Also, forget about vendor estimates. They underestimate output for several reasons, some good, but most are B.S. cons to oversell product. Download PVWatts, read the help screens a couple of times before you start, use a 10 % system loss parameter (you'll get that defined by the help screens) and make a few runs. Most vendors around here underrqate output (in effect oversizing systems) by ~ 10 % or so. Around here, a mostly south facing 20 deg. tilt roof mounted array with not much shade ought to generate ~ 1,700 kWh/yr. per installed STC kW of PV. Get your orientations as close as you can and have fun.

      Before you go further, get a copy of "Solar Power Your Home for Dummies". It's a bit dated but still has a lot of stuff you'll find useful. There's a free online download for the looking, or a hardcopy at bookstores or amazon for about $20 +/- a bit. Either way, it's a good investment of a few hours of education. You'll need it.

      Next, and there's no easy way to say or do this, get familiar with SDG & E's tariffs and how they work. When you do, you'll get frustrated and confused as hell. However, if you don't, you will be at the mercy of your ignorance that will be fertile ground for others to make money at your expense. Don't shoot me, I'm only the messenger. Start by Googling: "Current and effective tariffs + SDG & E". Then click on "residential rates".

      After PV is added to your residence, you may also have "DR-SES" as rate choice. It's similar to TOU - 2. It's a rate for PV system owners and similar to TOU-2 that MAY (or may NOT) be the best deal for you. There are others besides TOU - 2 or TOU - 5. Your rate /tariff education will go a long way to straightening that out.

      FWIW, TOU-2 and TOU-5 are different in that TOU - 5 has an ~ $0.14/kWh lower super off peak rate than TOU-2, but TOU - 5 also has an additional $16.00/billing period service charge, meaning if you use (i.e., charge a vehicle) more than ~ $16.00/$0.139/kWh ~ = 115 kWh/billing period, TOU 5 may be a better deal. Next, the going rate for a non battery residential PV around here is ~ $3.00/ STC W - $3.25/STC W.

      A little factoid you'll only find out here: With any of the 3 rates discussed above, every installed STC kW of a grid tied PV system in San Diego that has not much shading (maybe 5-10% or so) and faces mostly south at ~ a 20 deg. tilt or so will offset ~ $420 to ~ $460 of an electric bill figured by one of those three tariffs (provided the system is sized for less than 100 % usage offset).

      So, as an example, a 7.6 kW system as broadly described above will offset ~ $440*7.6 = $3,496 of an annual bill. Use all your electricity at peak time and you'll have a higher residual bill. Use less and/or use it at off peak times and you'll be able to use more for a lower bill. For those tariffs, a PV system can be considered as a revenue generator separate form usage and bill generation with the revenue confind to being used to only offset electric bills.

      Another tidbit: Never oversize a system. More than 100 % generation is a waste of money.

      Lastly, PV panels are now a commodity. Know the beyond some basic level of quality, all equally (electrical) sized systems and fit for purpose designed systems in the same location, orientation and duty will generate approx. the same amount of electricity per year, probably within a couple of % of one another for as long as you'll own a system. LG and Panasonic are good products, but no better than other quality products that are less expensive. Don't be B.S'd by peddlers.

      Welcome to the forum of few(er) illusions

      J.P.M., Zip 92026

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